FNUS74 KEPZ 291827
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JORNADA CHEMICAL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1227 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1235 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A MOIST SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE
REGION TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP AROUND THE BURN AREA. THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
REMAINING IN PLACE. THE MOISTURE WILL START TO PUSH SOUTH ON
TUESDAY AS RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE
NORTHERLY...BUT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE REGION WHICH WILL HELP ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING OUT OF THE
AREA BY MIDWEEK WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP BEING MUCH MORE
ISOLATED. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN FAIRLY HIGH
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS...THEN BECOMING EAST 4 TO 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...RYAN WHITEAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090629.JORNA.01/EPZ