FNUS73 KPAH 011104 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR D LOOP...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 604 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW THE NORTHWEST FLOW TO PUSH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE HEARTLAND. THIS WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURE MUCH COOLER THAN LATE JUNE YIELDED. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 5800-7700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 71 74 76 78 79 80 81 81 80 79 RH..............74 66 62 57 54 52 48 48 47 48 52 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.3 4.2 5.1 5.8 6.4 6.9 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 20 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 71 67 64 62 61 RH..............57 74 82 89 92 95 20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 3 N 2 N 2 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....7200 5600 3500 1800 1100 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23 NW 24 N 23 N 22 N 18 N 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH INCREASING TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 72 78 79 RH..............91 68 57 56 20 FT WIND......NW 2G5 NW 2G5 NW 3G5 W 2G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 3200 5000 6500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 NW 12 NW 12 NW 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090701.DLOOP.01/PAH