FNUS75 KRIW 011246
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAKI RX...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
646 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NORTHERN UTAH THIS MORNING
WILL BRING INCREASING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA BY NOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN SPREADING EAST OVER THE WYOMING RANGE
AROUND 1000 WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA BETWEEN 1100 AND
1500.  THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND
GUSTS...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DECREASE LATE AFTERNOON AS DOWNSLOPE WEST NORTHWEST WIND PICKS UP.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 1600 THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WIND...HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL TO
                    FREQUENT LIGHTNING BETWEEN 1100 AND 1500.  SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH THROUGH 1000. BECOMING
                    WEST SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    BETWEEN 1000 AND NOON.  ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP
                    TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY FROM
                    1100 TO 1500. WEST NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1500.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL BY NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (99800
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-95 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH THROUGH 2200.  THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5100-48000 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (87100
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...RANDALL
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090701.MAKIR.01/RIW