FNUS72 KJAX 021127 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY RUN...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 727 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HOLD NORTH OF THE AREA. THE PLACEMENT OF THESE FEATURES WILL MAINTAIN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WILL BE SOUTH OF A GAINESVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE LINE WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE RESIDES. MIN RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S EACH AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT UPWARD TREND MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS SPEEDS ARE FORECAST BELOW 15 MPH ALTHOUGH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. STRONGER GUSTS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. PATCHES OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA THROUGH ABOUT 830 TO 9 AM. VISIBILITIES MAY LOWER TO 1 TO 3 MILES AT TIMES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....68. CHANCE OF PCPN......20-30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........52 49 49 48 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 90 94 95 92 RH..............80 60 49 46 49 20 FT WIND......SW 4 W 8 W 9 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 16 16 17 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 4600 4600 7400 6900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 W 14 SW 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 LAL.............2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 52 52 48 46 46 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............90 85 81 78 76 75 RH..............54 67 79 86 92 95 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6800 1700 1700 1000 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 SW 10 SW 8 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 10 10 LAL.............3 3 3 3 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....78. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090702.TURKE.01/JAX