FNUS76 KMFR 022131
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMS FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
231 PM PDT THU JUL 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1333 PDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS
THE REGION REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT.
A DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH IS BRINGING SOUTHERLY MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA...THIS WILL ALLOWING CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN AND EXPECTED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. TOMORROW
MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA...HOWEVER EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TO STAY EAST OF THE BURN AREA. A TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS MAY BRING SOME GUSTY SOUTHWEST
TO WESTERLY WINDS INTO THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOP LEVEL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-103.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE CANYON WITH
                    WEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE
                    BURN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FEET AGL INCREASING TO 8000-10000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING MORE
                    WESTERLY 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT AT THE BOTTOM OF THE BURN AND
                      55-65 PERCENT NEAR THE TOP OF THE BURN.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO WEST WIND 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                     BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN
                     THE NIGHT EXPECT EAST 2 TO 5 MPH NEAR THE TOP OF
                     THE BURN . GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                     NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-102.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-8000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE  AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                     BECOMING UPSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                     THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...HARRIS STONER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090702.SIMSF.01/MFR