FNUS72 KJAX 031449 AAA
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 65 HUGHES ISLAND...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1049 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MEANDER JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA WHILE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES TO THE SOUTH. A WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A CONTINUATION
OF VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH GREATEST COVERAGE
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

WINDS TODAY OVER EASTERN MARION COUNTY WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY BETWEEN SW
AND W AT TIMES WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 20
MPH. STRONG WIND GUSTS IN VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     52     58     60
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............86     91     93     92
RH..............68     56     50     50
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 12   W 12   WSW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     17     17     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   4200   6100   6100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16  W 16   W 16   W 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     40     40
LAL.............2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING
                    ...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     48     48     50     36     36
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............89     85     81     79     77     76
RH..............56     67     77     82     87     90
20 FT WIND......W 10   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5800   1700   1700   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   SW 16  SW 16  SW 10  SW 7   SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............3      3      3      3      2      2

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090703.65HUG.01/JAX