FNUS74 KLZK 031242
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONS FORK 1  BLOCK 5...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
742 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MOVING
SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE WERE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...EXPECTED TO ROLL THROUGH LATER IN THE WEEKEND. WILL SEE
MIN RH VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON. BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN IN THE NORTH ON
SATURDAY AND SPREAD SOUTH ON SUNDAY. CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH
TUESDAY AS THIS FRONT STALLS OVER THE GULF STATES...LEAVING AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........89 AT IGNITION...MAX 97.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6800 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM
TEMP............89  92  94  95  97  96
RH..............46  42  40  39  37  38
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   2   2   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 6 7 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 73.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                       20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3500 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............95     90     82     79     77     75
RH..............40     47     60     65     70     75
EYE LVL WND DIR.S      S      S      SW     W      W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4      3      3      2      1      1
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 14 18 22 24 24
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10

$$
FORECASTER...62
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090703.IRONS.01/LZK