FNUS74 KHGX 060029 FWSHGX SPOT FORECAST FOR REESE LANE FIRE...TFS...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 730 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND STALL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANTLY MORE CLOUD COVER AND HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED BOTH DAYS AS WELL. AN INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEK. COMMENTS: A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF A COLLEGE STATION TO CROCKETT LINE. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THIS AREA OF STORMS WILL SINK SOUTH TONIGHT AND COULD TRIGGER ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. IF AN OUTFLOW PUSHED THIS FAR SOUTH...IT WOULD BRING A BRIEF WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO THE REGION BETWEEN 9 PM AND 11 PM. A STRONG TEMPERATURE INVERSION SHOULD PRODUCE A LOWERING OF MIXING HEIGHTS TO BELOW 1000 FEET BY MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE COMBINED WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD ALLOW STORMS TO DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE BOUNDARY IN THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON... THIS WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN THE AREA HAS SEEN IN ALMOST 40 DAYS. GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY: THE TAIL END OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S. LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 6000 FEET. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNIGHT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............99 93 88 85 82 79 RH..............38 50 61 70 77 82 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 13 12 9 7 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....9852 8047 2431 1647 1004 878 MIX HGT (M).....3004 2453 810 502 306 268 TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 210 220 220 220 TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 8 7 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 4 3 3 CWR.............10 20 20 20 20 20 .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............77 80 85 89 91 93 RH..............82 74 61 52 45 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 3 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....578 578 3808 6222 7689 5267 MIX HGT (M).....176 176 1161 1897 2344 1606 TRANSP WIND DIR.230 240 260 280 300 000 TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 6 6 TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 2 3 3 3 CWR.............20 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...ROESELER REQUESTED BY...SARAH BROOKS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090704.REESE.01/HGX