FNUS74 KLIX 052030 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE TEN WF...SOUTHEAST LA. REFUGES USF&WS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 330 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .COMMENTS TO REMARKS... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN QUITE ISOLATED WITH MOST ACTIVITY SOUTH OF THE SPOT LOCATION. WOULDN/T GO SO FAR AS TO SAY NO RAIN FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON BUT CHANCES ARE RELATIVELY LOW. THE RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARS. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. .DISCUSSION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURSTS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN HIGH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WESTERLY TODAY WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 20 MPH IS ISOLATED LOCATIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK AS THIS BOUNDARY STALLS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........39 39 43 43 43 63 63 63 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............93 94 89 83 81 80 79 78 RH..............54 53 64 77 82 85 88 91 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 W 9 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)5600 6000 2100 2100 1400 1900 1900 2200 MIX HGT (M-AGL).1710 1830 640 640 430 580 580 670 TRAN WIND (MPH).W 8 SW 9 S 17 S 17 SW 22 SW 21 SW 21 W 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 SW 4 S 8 S 8 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 W 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-6900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 22 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 85 85 85 82 82 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............78 81 86 89 88 89 RH..............91 82 68 59 61 59 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 8 W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 9 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 15 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)2200 1700 2400 2400 6400 6900 MIX HGT (M-AGL).670 520 730 730 1950 2100 TRAN WIND (MPH).W 20 W 15 W 15 W 15 W 22 W 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 9 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 10 W 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 60 60 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...DAVID DEMEYERE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090705.ONETE.02/LIX