FNUS74 KHGX 062201 FWSHGX SPOT FORECAST FOR REESE LANE FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 501 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND THE SEA BREEZE WILL PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. AS OF 5 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS NORTH OF A COLLEGE STATION TO LUFKIN LINE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG THE US 59 CORRIDOR BETWEEN VICTORIA AND WHARTON. WINDS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH NEAR 15 MPH AND GUSTY. WINDS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE VARIABLE TO MAINLY NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. COMMENTS: LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS INCREASING RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT. DEEP MOISTURE COUPLED WITH NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES SHOULD ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 6 PM AND 9 PM AND FOCUS ALONG THE I-10 AND US 59 CORRIDORS BETWEEN VICTORIA...COLUMBUS AND HOUSTON. THE RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS DOES LOOK LIKE THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IN QUITE SOME TIME. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY. IF RAIN DOES NOT FALL TONIGHT OR TUESDAY...IT WILL BE ANOTHER 5 TO 7 DAYS WITHOUT RAIN AND MORE 100 DEGREE HEAT. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNIGHT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............92 88 85 83 81 80 RH..............46 55 63 70 77 77 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 7 6 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5842 2352 1791 1456 1600 1600 MIX HGT (M).....1782 717 546 444 488 488 TRANSP WIND DIR.070 070 120 180 200 230 TRANSP WIND SPD.5 2 2 5 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 1 1 2 2 2 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 82 87 91 93 95 RH..............77 69 55 44 38 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....533 1981 2867 4409 4409 4040 MIX HGT (M).....162 604 874 1344 1344 1232 TRANSP WIND DIR.250 260 260 260 240 180 TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 6 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 3 3 2 CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...ROESELER REQUESTED BY...SARAH BROOKS FOR RICH GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090706.REESE.01/HGX