FNUS73 KMPX 061602 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FREEZE PILES...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1102 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK TROUGH NEAR THE BURN AREA WILL CAUSE CHANGEABLE WIND DIRECTON THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT. A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO PRODUCE SPOTTY SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL BECOME ESTABLISED ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA TONIGHT WHICH WILL BRING MAINLY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BUT CHANGEABLE WINDS...MAINLY NE TO SE 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-48900) INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (23700-58100) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............66 71 77 80 81 79 RH..............70 58 49 45 45 47 20 FT WIND......NE 5 SE 6 SW 7 NE 8 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-25400). MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (8800-55100). MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...PAULSON REQUESTED BY...USFWS LITCHFIELD WMD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090706.FREEZ.01/MPX