FNAK79 PAFG 080723
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1123 PM AKDT TUE JUL 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2220 AKDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISTURBANCE ALOFT IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. IT WILL GENERATE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE
AIRMASS WILL STABILIZE AGAIN ON THURSDAY AFTER THE DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT EARLY IN THE MORNING...RISING TO 10000
                    FT BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT THIS MORNING...WEST 10 MPH AFTER NOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING
                    WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. DECREASING CLOUDS AFTER
                    NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HANCOCK
REQUESTED BY...TED PIERCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090707.BEARC.02/AFG