FNUS72 KMFL 091037
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-53 ...FLORIDA PANTHER NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
637 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE FLORIDA BAY AREA YESTERDAY
WILL NOW MOVE NORTH OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS WEAKENED
ENOUGH THAT THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY NOT MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH
PENINSULA AS IT HAS THE PAST FEW DAYS. WINDS AROUND THE BURN SITE ARE
CURRENTLY CALM AND AFTER SUNRISE A LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP.

WINDS WILL BE WEAKER THAN WHAT THE OCHOPEE/PANTHER EAST/PANTHER WEST AND
MILES CITY RECORDED YESTERDAY BUT A SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH WIND WITH GUSTS
TO 12 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM TO 1 PM. SINCE THE GRADIENT IS WEAKER
...THE SEA BREEZE MAY STALL NEAR THE BURN SITE WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THAT FRONT BUT NOT UNTIL 2 PM. IF THE ACTIVITY IS CLOSE
...WINDS COULD DRASTICALLY SHIFT ESPECIALLY IF A GUST FRONT OCCURS.

DISPERSION WILL BE IN THE UPPER RANGE OF POOR TO FAIR (40).

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............77.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
TEMP............84     91     92     93     91     86
RH..............77     60     59     56     60     72
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 3    W 3
EYE LVL WIND G..5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   5000   5000   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......S 2    S 7    S 7    SW 10  W 6    W 6
DISP IDX (LDSI).8      40     40     39     26     26
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      3      3
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............75.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............76.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 31 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...JOSH O CONNOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED