FNUS76 KMFR 092149
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESERT RIDGE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
249 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1420 PDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES OFF OF THE COAST LEADING TO WEAK ONSHORE
FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE
UNTIL SUNDAY. FOR THIS AFTERNOON...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IS LIKELY TO BE INHIBITED AGAIN BY SOME WARMING ALOFT. HOWEVER...THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AN IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH...EXTENDING INLAND
FROM NEAR THE COAST...MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING SOME SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE AREA. WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. HOWEVER...ON
FRIDAY THE UPPER IMPULSE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON SO ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM...MAINLY
                    EAST OF THE FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH...EXCEPT NW 6-12 MPH
                    RIDGE TOP.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 TO 9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH TO RIDGE LINE...THEN NW
                    5-10 MPH TO 3000 ABOVE THE RIDGE...THEN
                    SOUTH 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT NW 6-12 MPH
                    RIDGE TOP. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE MID-EVENING 3-6 MPH...EXCEPT
                    GUSTY AND VARIABLE WITH ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT GUSTY AND VARIABLE
                    WITH ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE NE 2-4 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE SW 2-4
                    MPH LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-8300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN
                    UPSLOPE SW 4-8 MPH...EXCEPT NW 4-8 MPH ON THE RIDGE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE NE 5 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE SW 5
                    MPH LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...CORY WALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090709.DESER.01/MFR