FNUS73 KMQT 091520 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK COMP 3 RIVER SIDE DIKE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1116 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...AS HIGH PRESSURE EXITS EAST AND LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER MANITOBA AND THE PLAINS STATES. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY VALUES IN CHECK TODAY. ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AS MUCH OF THE MOISTURE GETS STOLEN BY STORMS TO OUR SOUTH. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE OVER WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS...ALLOWING PLENTY OF TIME FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RISE TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE WEST DIRECTLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY EVENING...AROUND 2000...AND REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST OR NORTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 60S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT IGNITION...MAX 75. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (351) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (528). MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700-3700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........22 28 35 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 74 74 73 RH..............57 56 55 55 GENERAL WIND....S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 GENERAL GUST....14 17 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.351 470 514 528 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 3600 3700 3100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 37 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (38). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........40 45 61 72 76 80 WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 68 65 63 62 60 RH..............56 64 70 76 83 93 GENERAL WIND....S 8 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 8 GENERAL GUST....14 8 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.430 200 76 70 38 128 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1000 300 300 100 500 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................3. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........84 80 75 71 69 65 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 71 78 79 80 79 RH..............82 68 54 54 53 54 GENERAL WIND....S 9 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 7 GENERAL GUST....15 16 17 19 22 21 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090709.MARSH.01/MQT