FNUS75 KPUB 102341
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 27ALPHA...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
541 PM MDT FRI JUL 10 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOULD SEE AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR ACROSS THE BURN SITE AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM STORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ALSO BRING AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEW
POINTS LIKELY TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER TO MID 50S BEHIND
THE BOUNDARY. WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...THERE WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE LATE EVENING
WITH POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE. WITH THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE LIKELY REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW...
THERE SHOULD BE MORE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH THE LATE EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(59 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68F.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    UNTIL 1900...THEN EAST TO NORTHEAST 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN EAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(43 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 9-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...LYNN HART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090710.27ALP.01/PUB