FNUS72 KMFL 111844
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKERS DOZEN RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
244 PM EDT SAT JUL 11 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKERS DOZEN RX...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
242 PM EDT SAT JUL 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE FIRE SITE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
EVEN ABOVE THE SURFACE SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY MOVE ACROSS THE
FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON WITH BRIEFLY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS THAT
MAY BLOW SMOKE TOWARDS SR 29 OR I-75. FOR TONIGHT...WINDS WILL
BECOME CALM AND SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD
FOG FORMATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. THE CALM WINDS AND
LITTLE MIXING SHOULD KEEP SMOKE CLOSE TO THE FIRE SITE
ITSELF...ALTHOUGH LOCAL DRAINAGE CAN SOMETIMES ALLOW SMOKE TO
DRIFT TOWARDS ONE OF THE ROADS...BUT THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............75.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING CALM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........70     70     20     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
TEMP............83     79     76     74     73     73
RH..............77     86     93     97     100    99
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 4    NE 4   NE 4   NE 4   E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    N 4    NE 4   NE 4   NE 4   E 4
EYE LVL WIND G..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....500    500    500    500    500    500
MIXNG WIND......N 6    N 6    NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   E 6
DISP IDX (LDSI).4      4      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........5      5      6      9      9      9
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............77.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...STRASSBERG
REQUESTED BY...LT SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...LT. SAPP
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.