FNUS75 KPUB 111348
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 127 ALPHA...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
748 AM MDT SAT JUL 11 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND FROM THE EAST LATER THIS MORNING
WHICH WILL TRANSPORT HIGHER MOISTURE FROM THE EAST INTO THE FIRE
AREA.  THIS MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CAUSE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AROUND NOON WHICH WILL DRIFT EASTWARD
INTO THE AREA AROUND 1300.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCAL DOWNPOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT.  LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...LEADING TOWARDS DRIER
AND WARMER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY.  ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (51 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    THEN SOUTHEAST 8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...BECOMING GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(33 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-64F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(49 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 11000
                    FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...LYNN HART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090711.127AL.01/PUB