FNUS75 KPUB 110644
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEWLIN CREEK FIRE...PIDC TYPE III TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1244 AM MDT SAT JUL 11 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SHALLOW COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A PUSH INTO
THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS MORNING BRINGING SOME INCREASING HUMIDITIES
TO THE AREA ALONG WITH SOME EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS.  ONLY A SLIGHT
COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF
PRODUCING A WETTING RAIN. HOWEVER ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A RETURN OF HOT AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MORE OF THE HIGH BASED VARIETY...PRODUCING
MORE WIND THAN RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(46 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0800...THE SOUTHEAST
                    6-12 MPH. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(66 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(34 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST 10-20 UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 8
                    MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 8
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(48 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PHILLIP DANIELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090711.NEWLI.01/PUB