FNAK79 PAFG 140636
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK ONE...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1036 PM AKDT MON JUL 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2226 AKDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 6PM TUESDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
AGAIN ON TUESDAY UNTIL A STRONG DRY COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTHEAST. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA BY 11 PM AKDT
ON TUESDAY NIGHT. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT.

COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RHS IN THE LOW 30S EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. WINDS MAY BE
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...JAKE LIVINGSTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090712.LITTL.03/AFG