FNUS75 KGJT 131931
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY MINE 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
131 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1246 MDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY
ALLOWING SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE TO INCREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON, ENHANCING UPCANYON WINDS. A BAND OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARD THE SITE...BUT AS THE AFTERNOON
PROGRESSES DRIER AIR WILL SLOWLY WORK INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.
A DRY COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT
TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH DRIER AND SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE WESTERLY
IN DIRECTION.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) BUT WITH SOME
                    CLOUDY PERIODS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). EVENING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200-16300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING...SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS
                    (20-30) OVER THE RIDGE TOPS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-NORTHWEST 6-11 MPH THE AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BECKY JOSSART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090713.HAPPY.01/GJT