FNUS72 KJAX 131124
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
724 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL SETTLE INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT BEFORE
STALLING. THIS WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH OUTSIDE
OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........31     46     46     57     78
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     86     90     90     88
RH..............83     64     54     53     56
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 5    W 6    SW 7   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   3700   3700   5700   3700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 8    W 8    W 9    W 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     40     40
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........78     65     65     50     49     49
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............86     82     78     76     75     74
RH..............61     74     86     91     95     99
20 FT WIND......SW 8   W 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   1600   1600   1000   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10   SW 12  SW 12  SW 9   SW 7   SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-6000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090713.EVERG.01/JAX