FNUS72 KMFL 132059
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-11 12 RX BURN...FLORIDA PANTHER NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
459 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK ACROSS
THE REGION. BY THE MIDDAY HOURS...MOST LIKELY BEGINNING VERY LATE
IN THE MORNING...LOW LEVEL WINDS AND WINDS THROUGH THE MIXING
LAYER WILL SHIFT TO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION
WHICH WOULD CARRY SMOKE AWAY FROM ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND HIGHWAY 29.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND IF
THEY MOVE OVER THE FIRE SITE COULD LEAD TO ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............76.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........30     50     50     50     50     40
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     20
TEMP............86     90     91     93     89     85
RH..............70     60     59     54     64     73
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 4    S 5    S 5    SE 4   E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3   S 4    S 5    S 5    SE 4   E 3
EYE LVL WIND G..5      10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4500   5000   5000   4500   2500
MIXNG WIND......S 5    SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 3    SE 3
DISP IDX (LDSI).13     24     27     27     18     10
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2      4
LAL.............1      1      3      3      3      2

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............76.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............77.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 16 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

$$
FORECASTER...STRASSBERG
REQUESTED BY...JOSH O CONNOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED