FNUS73 KMQT 141004 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK SOUTHERN WEDGE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 604 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE LINGERING OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL RESULT IN DRY AND MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SENEY AREA TODAY. ALTHOUGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING... EXPECT THE DRY WEATHER TO PERSIST. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPACT THE REFUGE AFTER 0400 ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO DIMINISH BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PLAN ON MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SETTLES ACROSS THE AREA. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (441). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........12 29 35 35 38 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 58 70 72 73 72 RH..............82 56 35 33 32 33 GENERAL WIND....SW 4 SW 4 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 143 299 406 404 398 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2000 3700 4500 4000 3100 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 94 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 34 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 48 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (58). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10-0.25 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........53 61 71 78 82 87 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 66 62 60 58 56 RH..............38 53 65 69 80 94 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 S 9 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.336 193 79 78 58 127 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........91 85 77 71 69 66 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 66 73 74 75 74 GENERAL WIND....S 10 S 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 9 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090714.MARSH.01/MQT