FNUS73 KMQT 141021 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK SOUTHERN WEDGE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 621 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NOTE: RETRANSMITTED TO INCLUDE CONDITIONS AT IGNITION. ALL REMAINING ELEMENTS STAYED THE SAME. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR WILL LINGER OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE TONIGHT WILL PUSH A BAND OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT...THEN INTO EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AROUND DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN SHOULD FALL IN MOST AREAS...BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD ONLY BE UP TO 0.25 INCHES. EXPECT A RETURN TO COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A TROUGH SETTLES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AS WELL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (241) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (441). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...AND TO 3000-4500 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........35 35 36 38 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 71 72 72 71 RH..............43 34 33 33 36 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.241 342 441 425 379 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 4300 4400 3500 2500 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 94 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 34 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 48 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (58). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10-0.25 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........53 61 71 78 82 87 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 66 62 60 58 56 RH..............38 53 65 69 80 94 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 S 9 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.336 193 79 78 58 127 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 75. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........91 85 77 71 69 66 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 66 73 74 75 74 GENERAL WIND....S 10 S 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 9 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090714.MARSH.01/MQT