FNAK71 PAFC 161042
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAKINA FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
242 AM AKDT THU JUL 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0300 AKDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WET T-STORMS OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS
WEAKENING FRONT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE ZONE. A SUPPORTING UPPER-LVL
TROF WILL ROTATE THROUGH TODAY..ENHANCING INSTABILITY. UPPER RIDGING OVER
THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL TO WEAKEN THIS WEEKEND AS A FRONT MOVES INTO
GULF BRINGING MORE MOISTURE TO THE REGION. MORE SUSTAINED RAIN MAY MOVE
INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN BY SUN NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 TO 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........NE 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SE 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SE 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WISE
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT BEACHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090715.CHAKI.01/AER