FNUS74 KEPZ 151500
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLIE...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
900 AM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0837 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY DRY LIGHTNING...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE FROM REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER SOUTHERN
ARIZONA AND STRONG DAYTIME OROGRAPHIC HEATING...WILL FAVOR ISOLATED
TO ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO OUR EAST WILL MOVE WEST AND RE-CENTER
OVER BURN SITE FOR CONTINUED ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL END UP 5 TO 10 PERCENT HIGHER TODAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY DRY LIGHTNING...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 1 TO 4.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(15-25 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090715.ALLIE.01/EPZ