FNUS74 KEPZ 151810
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TURKEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1210 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1134 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY DRY LIGHTNING...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE FROM REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER
SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND STRONG DAYTIME OROGRAPHIC HEATING...WILL FAVOR
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO OUR EAST WILL MOVE WEST AND RE-CENTER OVER WESTERN
NEW MEXICO THURSDAY.  THIS WILL ALLOW FOR FOR MAINLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY
AT THAT TIME. ASIDE FROM STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RAPID RUNOFF ARE SIGNIFICANT
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.   FOR MORE MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS
THURSDAY.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL END UP 8 TO 13 PERCENT HIGHER
TODAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON....SHIFTING
                    WEST-NORTHWEST MID AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING....THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...INCREASING AND BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090715.TURKE.02/EPZ