FNUS74 KMAF 151722
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR TEXAS HILL ONE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1222 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1048 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SUNNY AND HOT CONDITIONS BEGINNING THE AFTERNOON WILL DRIVE MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RH DOWN TO AROUND 20 PERCENT. INCREASING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE MOUNTAINS BY 1 PM MST...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
DEVELOPING IN UPSLOPE FLOW NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY DIURNAL HEATING WITH MOST ACTIVITY
DECREASING BY 6 PM MST. VERY HIGH BASES AND LITTLE RAINFALL THREATEN
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. A GENERALLY EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT 9 TO 14 MPH. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY GUST
TO 30 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

OVERNIGHT...STORMS WILL DIMINISH EARLY IN THE EVENING AND WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHERLY. POOR RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED WITH MAXIMUM OVERNIGHT
RH CLOSE TO 50 PERCENT.

FOR THURSDAY CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING IN THE MOUNTAINS MID AFTERNOON AND DECREASING BY EARLY EVENING.
INCREASED INSTABILITY MAY BRING HEAVIER RAINFALL. MINIMUM RH NEAR
20 PERCENT IS AGAIN EXPECTED.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /97000 KNOT-FT/.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD /8500-31500 KNOT-FT/.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 /HIGH/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /105000 KNOT-FT/.

$$

FORECASTER...JACKSON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT RUSSELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090715.TEXAS.02/MAF