FNAK79 PAFG 171515
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
715 AM AKDT FRI JUL 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1943 AKDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RIDGING CONTINUES TO BREAK DOWN AND MOVE EAST. THE
AIRMASS WILL BE A BIT UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
RANGE. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE BERING SEA WILL BEGIN TO
INFLUENCE THE AREA ON SATURDAY...BRINING AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND
GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS BY SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ON SATURDAY BUT THEY WILL BRING LITTLE RAIN. MUCH COOLER AND
WETTER AIRMASS TO MOVE IN ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH
                    AROUND 2200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED WET
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY GOERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090716.BEARC.02/AFG