FNUS72 KJAX 160934
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR POINT -TIMU...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
534 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE SEABREEZE NEAR THE EAST
COAST TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     52     62
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     90     91     90
RH..............70     60     57     60
20 FT WIND......SW 6   S 8    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   3200   4500   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10   W 10   W 12   W 13
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     40     50
LAL.............2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........62     57     57     38     29     29
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............87     83     80     79     78     77
RH..............63     70     77     80     82     86
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1700   1700   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 13   W 13   SW 9   SW 7   SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...WYLIE PAXTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090716.CEDAR.01/JAX