FNUS74 KLZK 161307
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONS FORK  1  BLOCK 7...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
807 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS MORNING OUT AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH...BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE...WITH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THE
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........92 AT IGNITION...MAX 96.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 13 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12
                       MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6700 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............92  94  95  96  96  96
RH..............49  46  45  43  42  41
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   SW  SW  S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   3   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   7   6   5   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 73.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 24
                       TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............96  94  90  86  83  81  79  78  77  76  74  73
RH..............41  43  48  56  62  66  70  73  77  81  86  90
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   1
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   5   7   10  15  18  22  24  25  25  24  24
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  40  40  40  40  40  40  60  60  60  60  60

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090716.IRONS.01/LZK