FNUS72 KMHX 161048
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEABORN RD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
648 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFFSHORE ALONG WITH A WEAK TROUGH INLAND WILL
TRIGGER SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT
WILL SINK SOUTH FRIDAY...STALLING INLAND THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF
THE WEEKEND. THIS MEANDERING FRONT COULD BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS INTO THE UPPER TEENS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3250-4000 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     54     55     61
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     83     85     87     85
RH..............79     63     61     59     63
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 6   SW 9   SW 10   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     18     18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........64     68     70     72     73     73
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............85     81     78     76     75     75
RH..............65     74     82     87     90     90
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-2700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     73     74     74     75     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     76     81     85     87     87
RH..............93     87     74     67     63     63
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  S 13   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     25

$$
FORECASTER...JAMISON
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090716.SEABO.01/MHX