FNUS76 KOTX 162038
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
138 PM PDT THU JUL 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1315 PDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...HIGH FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL DUE TO DRY FUELS...LOW RH AND LOW
   LEVEL INSTABILITY EXPECTED FRIDAY OVER THE FIRE AREA...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION AND A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CASCADES WILL PROMOTE
CONTINUED WARMING AND DRYING THROUGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ON MID-SLOPES WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY POOR. THE RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN LATE SATURDAY...
WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AND INCREASING TO BREEZY AND GUSTY LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PEAKING SATURDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH 2 TO 4 MPH
                    AFTER 3 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1000
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 9000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MF
REQUESTED BY...CWICC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090716.OAKCR.01/OTX