FNUS72 KMHX 171916 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK MEADOW...NC FOREST RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 316 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1441 EDT ON JULY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER TONITE INTO EARLY SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...THEN DISSIPATE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5000 TO 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........80 78 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS TSTMS TEMP............88 86 RH..............69 65 20 FT WIND......SW 10 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 HAINES INDEX....4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........76 72 67 66 69 69 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 81 78 76 75 74 RH..............67 77 82 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......S 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 15 10 5 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........67 59 68 69 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP............73 76 82 87 89 89 RH..............100 94 74 59 52 50 20 FT WIND......W 3 W 2 W 3 W 4 W 4 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WILLIS/KENNEDY/MERRELL REQUESTED BY...PHILLIP WALL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090717.BUCKM.02/MHX