FNUS75 KPUB 191102
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOURTH NEWLIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
502 AM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WILL SEE MORE AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILDUPS ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN THAN YESTERDAY...WITH ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE BURN SITE. MAIN THREATS FROM
STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40
MPH. A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE BURN SITE AND
CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCES OF HIGH BASED STORMS. INCREASED CHANCES OF
WETTING RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
UPSLOPE INCREASE BEHIND FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300 THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
                    5-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 13000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(33 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL
                    1900...THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(47 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.


OUTLOOK FOR DAY 3 THROUGH DAY 7 FROM ZONE 225 FIRE WEATHER
FORECAST...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 58.
HIGHS 60 TO 81. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 42 TO
56. HIGHS 60 TO 86. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44 TO 57.
HIGHS 64 TO 86. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44 TO 58.
HIGHS 64 TO 86.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44 TO 57.
HIGHS 61 TO 82.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JON BREWER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090718.FOURT.01/PUB