FNAK71 PAFC 201348
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAKINA FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
548 AM AKDT MON JUL 20 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2346 AKDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN GULF THAT IS BRINGING
WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL MOVE INLAND ON
THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING...REDUCING RAIN NEAR THE FIRE TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN
GULF ON TUESDAY AND MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY TUESDAY EVENING.
MOST OF THE RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...HOWEVER CONTINUED CLOUD COVER WILL
PROHIBIT CONVECTION AS WELL AS KEEP TEMPERATURES MODERATED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 MPH

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 30 MPH

$$
FORECASTER...DIXON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT BEACHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.CHAKI.02/AER