FNUS74 KEPZ 191701
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HOLMAN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1101 AM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1037 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LATE THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE SACRAMENTOS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND
THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW WOULD TAKE THEM SOUTHWEST TOWARDS THE
SAN ANDRES AND ORGAN MOUNTAINS.  HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN
THE LOWLANDS IS QUITE SHALLOW AND WILL LIKELY MIX OUT THIS AFTER-
NOON...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT...THIS WILL
LEAD TO A RATHER UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE...ONLY HELD ON TO A SLIGHT 10% CHANCE FOR PRECIP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING.  MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP
TO AROUND 20%...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7
                    MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH
                    TOWARDS DAWN..


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-104.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.HOLMA.01/EPZ