FNUS75 KGJT 191956 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR MOON...MOON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 156 PM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1306 MDT ON JULY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRACKS OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO TODAY WITH ANOTHER WAVE ON MONDAY. MOISTURE WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AND ON MONDAY. ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. AS MOISTURE INCREASES SLIGHTLY EXPECT MORE RAINFALL FROM THE STORMS LATER THIS EVENING AND ON MONDAY. STORM COVERAGE WILL ALSO INCREASE SLIGHTLY. THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS ON TUESDAY AND SHIFTS NORTHWARD. LINGERING MOISTURE UNDER THE RIDGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HAINES INDEX WILL REMAIN MODERATE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97 F. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-7 MPH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................2. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F. MAX HUMIDITY........34-39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-7 MPH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN 3-5 MPH AFTER 1000. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000 THEN TURNING POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................2. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95 F. MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 TURNING TO EXCELLENT BY NOON. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................2. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...AS REQUESTED BY...RYAN SEALOCK TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU .TAG 20090719.MOON_.01/GJT