FNUS72 KMHX 191031
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRINGLE RD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
631 AM EDT SUN JUL 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED OVER THE REGION TODAY.
THE FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRES MOVES NE ALONG IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST 12 TO 14
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     51     52     51
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     82     84     84
RH..............74     65     61     61
20 FT WIND......NE 3   E 3    SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      6      10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1800-3000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........51     54     54     54     54     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............82     78     75     74     72     72
RH..............65     76     82     84     90     93
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    SE 2   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.              5

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 16 TO
                    21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     54     54     54     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71     73     78     82     84     84
RH..............97     90     76     65     59     59
20 FT WIND......E 0    E 1    E 3    SE 4   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090719.PRING.01/MHX