FNUS75 KPUB 201102
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOURTH NEWLIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
502 AM MDT MON JUL 20 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY...AS MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO
PUSHES INTO AREA. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY HIGH BASED...WITH
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. A COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS NORTHEASTERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO BACK
UP ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IN EAST TO NORTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW ALLOWING FOR GOOD RH RECOVERY.
MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN IN PLACE ON TUESDAY WITH BETTER CHANCES OF WETTING
RAINS WITH EXPECTED SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(60 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    WINDS 9-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 8-12 UNTIL 2100...THEN EAST
                    TO NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(63 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 6-11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 5500 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.


...EXTENDED FORECAST FROM FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR ZONE 225...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44 TO
56. HIGHS 61 TO 84. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 58.
HIGHS 63 TO 84. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 58.
HIGHS 63 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 46 TO 58.
HIGHS 60 TO 81.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 57.
HIGHS 58 TO 80.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...ED SKERJANEC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.FOURT.01/PUB