FNUS75 KPUB 200008
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIERCE GULCH FIRE...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
608 PM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL BE OVER BY 2100 MDT...HOWEVER...ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE
WILL CROSS THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO LATE TONIGHT...SO
AN ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
STORM MOVEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS ALOFT. SURFACE WINDS COULD BE QUITE GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN
VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS BOTH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...WITH WIND
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. STORMS TOMORROW WILL ALSO BEGIN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON...AND WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH TOMORROW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........THEN NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 16500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...TAWNYA WINTERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.PIERC.01/PUB