FNUS73 KUNR 200059
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GULLY 1...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
659 PM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1806 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT THAT JUST MOVED THROUGH THE FIRE AREA
WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AROUND OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL INTO THE UPPER 50S BY MORNING...WITH GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY AROUND 70 TO 80 PERCENT. MONDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AT 8 TO 12 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56-59.
RH..................MAX 72-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 8
                    TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...BECOMING POOR BY 9 PM.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-78.
RH..................MIN 33-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 TO 7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...TONY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.GULLY.01/UNR