FNUS73 KUNR 200122
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GULLY 1...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
722 PM MDT SUN JUL 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1906 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT THAT JUST MOVED THROUGH THE FIRE AREA
WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AROUND OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL INTO THE MID 50S BY MORNING...WITH GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY AROUND 70 TO 80 PERCENT. MONDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AT 8 TO 12 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
                    MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING 200 TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 9 PM.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...TONY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090719.GULLY.02/UNR