FNUS72 KJAX 201150 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN DAY 6...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 750 AM EDT MON JUL 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0729 EDT ON JULY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH THE AREA TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF MOIST...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON AS DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WORK INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. FOR TUESDAY...MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S IN THE EVERGREEN AREA. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....90. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....43. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........70 63 54 54 45 45 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 81 86 88 88 85 RH..............94 74 59 50 51 58 20 FT WIND......NW 2 W 3 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1700 3600 5500 5500 5000 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 8 NW 8 W 8 W 7 W 6 LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....66. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 44 44 42 39 39 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 78 73 71 69 68 RH..............58 71 83 88 91 93 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 1400 1400 900 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 S 3 S 3 LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....92. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....51. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 32 32 32 32 32 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............67 69 81 88 91 89 RH..............96 90 62 48 40 43 20 FT WIND......SW 0 SW 0 S 1 SE 3 E 5 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1400 1400 4100 6800 6800 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 W 3 W 3 W 6 SW 7 SW 7 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...CARROLL REQUESTED BY...PAUL VARNEDOE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090720.EVERG.01/JAX