FNUS74 KLUB 200628 FWSLUB FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LAKE ALAN HENRY...GARZA CO SO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 128 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0054 CDT ON JULY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATE..THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO THE 40 PERCENT RANGE AS STORM COMPLEX IS MATURING NORTH/WEST OF LUBBOCK AT THIS TIME. NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT IS IMPACTING LUBBOCK NOW /60 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE LAKE/ AND IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PREVIOUS /105 AM CDT/...THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW WINDS ARE PROGRESSING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO IMPACT THE SAR SITE BY 0830Z /330 AM CDT/. CURRENTLY A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS...BUT THIS PROBABILITY MAY BE INCREASED. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS PRECEDED BY A NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT BRINGING 20 TO 30 MPH WINDS AND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. AT THE TIME OF THIS FORECAST...THE WINDS WERE APPROXIMATELY 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE ALAN HENRY...AND INCOMING THUNDERSTORMS WERE APPROXIMATELY 100 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE LAKE. BOTH THE WIND SHIFT AND THE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................40 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 4 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........47 48 50 51 54 63 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............94 92 85 82 79 77 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........71 71 64 56 48 40 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 75 80 85 88 90 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 E 3 NE 5 NE 6 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 20 $$ FORECASTER...LINDLEY REQUESTED BY...BRENT JACKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090720.LAKEA.01/LUB