FNUS74 KEPZ 211603
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HALE 2 UNIT 3...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1003 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1005 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT...AIDED BY LEFTOVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE
HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WILL PUSH WESTWARD INTO THE AREA
THIS MORNING.  ALREADY MCGREGOR RANGE RAWS INDICATES NORTHEAST WINDS
GUSTING TO 20 MPH.  SIMILAR CONDITIONS COULD BE FELT AT THE SPOT
LOCATION THIS MORNING...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY
AND DIMINISH BELOW 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS EASTERLY PUSH...AND MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON OVER THE SACRAMENTOS AND GUADALUPES.  THESE STORMS WILL
TEND TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...BRINGING CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND ERRATIC WINDS.  EXPECT LIGHTER SOUTHEAST WINDS TOMORROW...BUT
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 94.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS
                    MORNING...BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090721.HALE2.01/EPZ