FNUS75 KGJT 211329
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
729 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0711 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM NEAR VERNAL UTAH SOUTHEAST TO NEAR
ASPEN COLORADO WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY. THIS WILL KEEP
THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO
THE AREA. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON TO TRIGGER
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THEN MOVE IN OVERNIGHT
AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WINDS
                    BECOMING WEST 4-8 MPH BY 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 12500 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 2100.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...DALE BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090721.DUCKC.01/GJT