FNUS75 KPUB 211257
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIERCE GULCH...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
657 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS FROM 1400
THROUGH 1900 MDT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LESS IN THE WAY OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY...THOUGH AN
ISOLATED STORM PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS CAN'T BE RULED OUT.
ALSO ON WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AROUND 5 DEGREES...WITH
MINIMUM RH FALLING ABOUT 10 PERCENT VERSUS TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(67 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0800. SOUTH AROUND 7
                    MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(32 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 5-8 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN NORTH 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 12000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...TOM TILLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090721.PIERC.01/PUB