FNUS72 KTAE 211015
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 68...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
615 AM EDT TUE JUL 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSEASONABLY DRY AIRMASS HAS SETTLED INTO THE
REGION. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. FOR WEDNESDAY...THERE MAY
BE A FEW AREAS THAT APPROACH 35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY ALONG
THE NORTH FLORIDA BORDER...BUT DURATIONS APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO
ACHIEVE RED FLAG CRITERIA. NEVERTHELESS...FORECAST DISPERSION
INDICES ARE HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY...SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY. INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND RAIN CHANCES
WILL PRECLUDE RED FLAG CONDITIONS FROM BEING REACHED LATER IN THE
WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 92.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    4200-6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 45.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............77     85     89     91     89     83
RH..............54     39     33     31     35     46
20 FT WIND......E 3    SE 6   S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST LESS THAN 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION..........MIN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WOOL
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090721.BURNU.01/TAE